Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.423515 0.489309 0.561067 0.645023 0.740436 0.845373 0.969401
2025-08-17 0.306866 0.394996 0.500796 0.636606 0.805703 1.008655 1.269985
2025-08-24 0.241489 0.336982 0.460067 0.629153 0.854017 1.141221 1.534019
2025-08-31 0.192997 0.288332 0.418770 0.608346 0.874493 1.232084 1.745534
2025-09-07 0.173480 0.274475 0.419725 0.640924 0.965604 1.420219 2.099201
2025-09-14 0.145152 0.242639 0.389675 0.623719 0.981925 1.503171 2.310619
2025-09-21 0.122671 0.215881 0.362829 0.606491 0.994004 1.578036 2.513184
2025-09-28 0.105177 0.194278 0.340697 0.592897 1.008480 1.655356 2.722963
2025-10-05 0.095806 0.184848 0.336707 0.607288 1.067389 1.804189 3.052890
2025-10-12 0.090374 0.181465 0.342172 0.637461 1.154014 2.002590 3.475257
2025-10-19 0.083347 0.174094 0.339626 0.653086 1.216802 2.166082 3.851767
2025-10-26 0.075744 0.164506 0.331826 0.658166 1.261082 2.301079 4.189306
2025-11-02 0.067811 0.153355 0.320175 0.655564 1.292519 2.418461 4.509289
2025-11-09 0.060127 0.141635 0.306095 0.646913 1.312165 2.516968 4.804473
2025-11-16 0.053562 0.131290 0.293401 0.639340 1.332630 2.617694 5.109861
2025-11-23 0.046582 0.118938 0.275036 0.618221 1.324596 2.664906 5.320153
2025-11-30 0.045107 0.118987 0.282721 0.651286 1.426038 2.923353 5.939515
2025-12-07 0.039719 0.108926 0.267280 0.633824 1.423660 2.983399 6.187195
2025-12-14 0.034997 0.099740 0.252624 0.616338 1.419297 3.038600 6.428337
2025-12-21 0.031088 0.091990 0.240279 0.602540 1.421188 3.105751 6.696603
2025-12-28 0.029335 0.089651 0.240415 0.617147 1.485546 3.303242 7.237629
2026-01-04 0.028616 0.090022 0.247150 0.647771 1.587634 3.584850 7.966603
2026-01-11 0.027122 0.087996 0.247689 0.663628 1.657724 3.804033 8.580168